My analysis of the Republican nomination for President:
After initially supporting Tom Tancredo, I now support Ron Paul for the Republican nomination. There are a number of reasons for this:
1. Tancredo’s campaign, for some reason, has yet to pick up steam. I fear the immigration issue has been co-opted by all of the other candidates, and Tancredo is having trouble “branding” himself as the standard bearer, a title he deserves. Ironically, Tancredo’s success in Congress in bringing attention to the immigration issue may have aborted his attempt to be President, since amnesty is now as “untouchable” politically as gun control for anyone seeking the Republican nomination. Tancredo is a national hero for his role in organizing opposition to Bush’s amnesty, and if the nation survives in the long run, history may recognize him as the second greatest Italian person in our history, behind Columbus. Knights of Tancredo, anyone? Seriously, Tancredo would make a great President (or Speaker of the House later on!), but I don’t see any momentum there, and that could change. Ron Paul, however, is making remarkable progress…
2. I had heard rumors a few weeks ago about Paul’s fundraising success. Now, it is official that Ron Paul has more cash on hand than John McCain, and is in third place financially. Given the large corporate metropolitan support behind Romney and Giuliani, this is remarkable, reflecting a large grassroots level of support. At this point in the game, a small corps of very intense deep support is possibly more important than soft support in a poll because you’ve been running television ads (e.g. Romney). Some reports have also indicated that following his debate confrontation with serial adulterer and all-around sociopath Rudy Giuliani (Paul has been married to the same woman for fifty years), his name became the most popular search term on the Internet, displacing pop culture searches like “Paris Hilton” for a few days. For real conservatives, the smart money is now on Paul, who leads Tancredo in cash by about 5:1.
3. Because of the intense support he enjoyed when he talked realistically about the war and his seriousness in chaining the federal government back to its constitutional bounds, I see Paul breaking away from the “second tier” candidates. Since McCain is now pretty much a dead duck (pro-war and pro-amnesty, just like Bush, who couldn’t get elected dogcatcher), I see the race becoming between front runners Giuliani and Romney, with Paul a strong third.
4. I don’t think Paul is likely to win, but his chances are not insignificant. And that’s miraculous given Paul’s positions. Paul is like having a Founding Father running for President- he actually supports what the Constitution says, which is amazing in our political environment. Since he has a non-negligible chance of getting the nomination, I see it as my duty to support him as the candidate most reflective of my views.
5. Paul can win the general election, because he’s the only Republican with a better war record than Hillary. Ron Paul opposes any war not declared by Congress, which is why he voted against a “police action” in Iraq. Unlike Bush and his chickenhawk neocon advisers, Paul has actually served in the military and doesn’t think American troops should be wasted on these chickenpoop nation-building exercises. If it’s war, we declare it, fight it, and go home. I agree with this guy that many people are in “Hillary Denial” and don’t appreciate the albatross the war has become for the Republican Party. Paul may be the only Republican who CAN win.
6. Ron Paul’s election would bring real hope for our country’s future. I have to admit, I have long given up hope for the federal government. I’ve come to see it as an empire birthed by Lincoln, that must inevitably run its course from tyranny to depravity. Only by waiting for its demise could we hope to restore true liberty in a saving remnant of the American nation. But Paul offers hope for three reasons: 1) He is profoundly conservative, probably the most conservative of any in Congress, but also 2) is able to deliver his message very inoffensively, and 3) offers a realistic Grand Bargain between warring sides in the Culture Wars who have a common interest in overthrowing the Establishment (which largely uses the Culture Wars as bait to gin up their respective bases, while doing nothing substantial about the core issues). Paul is able to communicate as this harmless, likable character that appeals very much to even very liberal people. He was by far the most popular candidate to speak at Google, a place known as a hotbed for infantile liberal ideas. However, if it turns out that the freedom to smoke pot or engage in other vices means more to liberals than socialist health care, then Ron Paul (and his federalism in returning regulation of that sort of thing to the states) is a bargain. There’s no other political movement I know of that could get me (a hardcore traditionalist) under the same tent as a cannabis enthusiast. That’s a lot of potential, and a wonderful development. I will ally with anyone, liberal or conservative, to get the federal government to butt out of state concerns. They can have socialism in San Francisco, and we’ll have freedom in Texas. This idea of two irreconcilable worldviews trying to control and reform each other via the federal government is waste and silliness for both sides. Paul provides a forum for the Culture Wars to resolve through peaceful secession of common interests, to agree to disagree and stop bothering each other.
7. I think libertarians are about half right, but have this sort of autistic tendency to assume humans are perfectly rational, and in extreme cases, makes for ridiculous policy prescriptions. However, I can strategically support a libertarian like Paul for President, as the President controls our enemy, the federal government, and a libertarian will weaken the power of my enemy. In fact, I think government ought to be powerful in inverse proportion to its size. I would prefer authoritarian local government (as do most people, when you look at the subdivision restrictions most people are more than happy to submit to), a conservative state government, and to the extent necessary, a libertarian federal government.
I think I’ll put a little check in the mail to Ron and his campaign. The man deserves so much credit for just standing on unwavering principles of the Old Republic in these late days of the American Empire.
Two Interesting Articles to Pass Along:
Media Male-Bashing:
A Doozy of a Post at the Chalcedon Blog:
The Death of the Middle Class, Part One: